Our model gives Zwickau a 59% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Babelsberg.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zwickau have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Babelsberg have done so in 3 of their last 5.