Our model gives Zob Ahan a 28% chance to win this one, against 39% for a draw and 33% for Foolad.

Both teams are projected to score in 35% of simulations, against 65% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 24% likelihood against 76% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zob Ahan have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Foolad have done so in 0 of their last 1.