Our model gives Zeljeznicar a 55% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Siroki Brijeg.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zeljeznicar have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Siroki Brijeg have done so in 1 of their last 2.