Our model gives Zagłębie Lubin a 37% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Wisła Płock.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Wisła Płock have done so in 2 of their last 3.