Our model gives Zürich a 26% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 53% for Young Boys.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Zürich have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Young Boys have done so in 4 of their last 4.