Our model gives Yokohama a 47% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Imabari.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Yokohama have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Imabari have done so in 2 of their last 2.