Our model gives Ylöjärvi United a 13% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 72% for Lasten.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ylöjärvi United have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Lasten have done so in 3 of their last 4.