Our model gives YF Juventus a 45% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Basel II.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, YF Juventus have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Basel II have done so in 2 of their last 2.