Our model gives Yeovil Town a 25% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 50% for Carlisle United.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Yeovil Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Carlisle United have done so in 1 of their last 2.