Our model gives Yaypan a 70% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 15% for Buxoro University.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Yaypan have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Buxoro University have done so in 3 of their last 4.