Our model gives Xiamen Feilu a 62% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Beijing BIT.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Xiamen Feilu have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Beijing BIT have done so in 4 of their last 6.