Our model gives Wythenshawe Amateurs a 51% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Padiham.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Wythenshawe Amateurs have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Padiham have done so in 0 of their last 1.