Our model gives Worthing a 34% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 41% for Boreham Wood.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Worthing have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Boreham Wood have done so in 2 of their last 2.