Our model gives Workington a 40% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Warrington Rylands.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Workington have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Warrington Rylands have done so in 1 of their last 3.