Our model gives Widnau a 37% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 39% for Mendrisio.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Widnau have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Mendrisio have done so in 0 of their last 1.