Our model gives Welling United a 43% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Stanway Rovers FC.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Welling United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Stanway Rovers FC have done so in 2 of their last 3.