Our model gives Warrington Town a 41% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 33% for AFC Emley.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Warrington Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and AFC Emley have done so in 2 of their last 3.