Our model gives Warrenpoint Town a 73% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Armagh City.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Armagh City have done so in 0 of their last 3.