Our model gives Villa Mitre a 54% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 17% for Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Both teams are projected to score in 37% of simulations, against 63% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 31% likelihood against 69% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Villa Mitre have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Kimberley Mar del Plata have done so in 1 of their last 2.