Our model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 45% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Union Saint-Gilloise.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Viktoria Plzeň have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Union Saint-Gilloise have done so in 3 of their last 5.