Our model gives Viimsi a 46% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Tartu Welco.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Viimsi have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5, and Tartu Welco have done so in 4 of their last 4.