Our model gives Ventura County a 52% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 26% for North Texas.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ventura County have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and North Texas have done so in 1 of their last 1.