Our model gives Varegg a 13% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 74% for Djerv.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 77% likelihood against 23% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Varegg have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Djerv have done so in 4 of their last 4.