Our model gives Vard a 31% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 49% for Os.

Both teams are projected to score in 76% of simulations, against 24% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 81% likelihood against 19% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Vard have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Os have done so in 3 of their last 3.