Our model gives Vaprus a 7% chance to win this one, against 12% for a draw and 80% for Levadia.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Vaprus have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Levadia have done so in 2 of their last 3.