Our model gives Valmiera a 36% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 42% for Beitar / Riga Mariners.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Valmiera have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Beitar / Riga Mariners have done so in 2 of their last 3.