Our model gives Vaduz a 42% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Lausanne Sport.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Vaduz have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6, and Lausanne Sport have done so in 2 of their last 4.