Our model gives Union Omaha a 77% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Richmond Kickers.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Union Omaha have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Richmond Kickers have done so in 2 of their last 3.