Our model gives Unia Skierniewice a 54% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Arka Gdynia.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Arka Gdynia have done so in 1 of their last 2.