Our model gives Uni Azzurri a 75% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 13% for Hellenic Athletic.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 78% likelihood against 22% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Uni Azzurri have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Hellenic Athletic have done so in 1 of their last 1.