Our model gives UNAN Managua a 17% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 62% for Managua.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, UNAN Managua have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Managua have done so in 3 of their last 3.