Our model gives UN Käerjéng a 40% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hostert.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, UN Käerjéng have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Hostert have done so in 2 of their last 2.