Our model gives Ulsan HD a 42% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Anyang.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ulsan HD have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Anyang have done so in 4 of their last 4.