Our model gives Ullern a 60% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 25% for Vålerenga II.

Both teams are projected to score in 78% of simulations, against 22% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 87% likelihood against 13% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ullern have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Vålerenga II have done so in 3 of their last 3.