Our model gives Ullern a 27% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 54% for Union Carl Berner.

Both teams are projected to score in 70% of simulations, against 30% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ullern have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Union Carl Berner have done so in 4 of their last 4.