Our model gives Torreense U19 a 61% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 17% for União de Leiria U19.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Torreense U19 have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and União de Leiria U19 have done so in 0 of their last 1.