Our model gives Tongeren a 34% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 46% for Sporting Club Jemappes.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tongeren have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Sporting Club Jemappes have done so in 1 of their last 1.