Our model gives Toluca U19 a 56% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Santos Laguna U19.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Toluca U19 have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Santos Laguna U19 have done so in 0 of their last 1.