Our model gives Tokushima Vortis a 68% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 14% for FC Tokushima.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tokushima Vortis have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1.