Our model gives Tianjin Jinmen Tiger a 39% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Zhejiang.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Zhejiang have done so in 3 of their last 3.