Our model gives Tianjin Jinmen Tiger a 37% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Yunnan Yukun.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Yunnan Yukun have done so in 1 of their last 1.