Our model gives Thun a 38% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 39% for Young Boys.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Thun have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Young Boys have done so in 1 of their last 1.