Our model gives The New Saints a 79% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Llandudno.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, The New Saints have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Llandudno have done so in 3 of their last 3.