Our model gives TerDU a 7% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 82% for Gazalkent.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 77% likelihood against 23% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, TerDU have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Gazalkent have done so in 2 of their last 4.