Our model gives Temperley a 54% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Almagro.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 35% likelihood against 65% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Temperley have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Almagro have done so in 1 of their last 4.