Our model gives Tai'an Tiankuang a 52% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Shanghai Segenda.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Tai'an Tiankuang have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Shanghai Segenda have done so in 2 of their last 4.