Our model gives Swit a 21% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 60% for Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Swit have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki have done so in 3 of their last 3.