Our model gives Sutjeska a 34% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 36% for Mornar.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 42% likelihood against 58% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sutjeska have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Mornar have done so in 0 of their last 2.