Our model gives Sutjeska a 36% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Dečić.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sutjeska have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Dečić have done so in 0 of their last 2.