Our model gives Stourbridge a 40% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Stamford.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stourbridge have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Stamford have done so in 0 of their last 2.